Monday, December 20, 2010

St. Petersburg Bowl

Louivilee vs So Miss, lville -2.5, o/u 57.5

This game doesnt stand out to me at all. So Miss has a good passing attack with 2 wr's over 1000 yards and a good RB. lville is a pretty one dimensional offense. I dont really have a lean to this game, but I think So. Miss wins this game outright. I am actually not betting on this game, but if I were to bet, I would lean towards the under and so miss.

After doing a little more research, I have come to the conclusion that I think So Miss is just a better team. I am taking them and also taking the team over. They have only not scored 30 points 1 time this year.

Got this from another blog, but it is great information...
S.Miss Offense: Souther Miss can score, flat out score.They scored 40+ 7 times this season. However this is against terrible defensive teams such as #118 E Carolina, #117 Memphis, #96 Houston, #83 Tulsa, etc. They were able to put 31 points on Central Florida #12, however they only scored 13 at La Tech.

They are #15 in total offense, #21 rushing, #31 passing and #15 in scoring. Led by Junior QB Austin Davis with 18 pass TDs and 10 rushing TDs. Strangely Tulane was able to hold him to only 102 yards but Tulane is ranked #29 against the pass.

Louisville Defense: #10 in total yards, #9 against the pass, #47 rushing yards and #15 in points allowed. They allowed 20 or less points in 7 of 12 games including shutting out UCONN, 13 to Rutgers, 17 to WVA, 0 to Memphis while SMiss gave Memphis 19points.

Louisville Offense: Froman and Burke have combined for 19tds and 7 INTS. Both are Seniors.

Senior Running Back Billal Powell has a 6.3 avg, 1330 yards, 10 rushing tds and 3 receiving tds.

#32 rushing yards, #66 total yards, and #71 in points scored.

Southern Miss Defense: #103 against the pass, #80 in points allowed, but #14 against the rush.

Angles and Tidbits: Southern Miss has a great offense and Louisville has a considerably better defense and probably much better than S.Miss has seen this year.

Louisville Defense hasn't allowed a 200+ passing yard game to an opponent in their last 6 games after getting tourched by Cincy.

A long layoff between games as both teams haven't played since 11/26.

Louisville will have to contain the passing game to win. Southern Miss has to out shoot Louisville.

Louisville #39 in turnover margin, Southern Miss #18

My pick:

Louisville lost to Cincy who played this exact same style of uptempo offense and although they got better defensively, they did not play this style the rest of the year.

They say defense wins championships, but in these bowl games alot of times offense is what wins and I don't see Louisville holding down S.Miss as they are very very fast and I beleive S.Miss can hold down Louisville's offense.

No comments: