Humanitarian Bowl, Bowl game #2

Northern Illinois vs. Fresno, pretty much a pick -1 everywhere, o/u 59

This game has stay away written all over it.( of course we will all still be on it, because we are degenerates).
You have a NI team who is avg. 6.4 yards per rush( more then auburn and org) and they pretty much dominate every single stat on paper. You then have the intangibles with them. Their Head coach accepted the job at Minnesota and took his coordinator with him. Minn wanted him to start recruiting right away and not coach the bowl game. Their new coach( Dave Doeren, from Wisconsin) may be a good coach, but to ask someone to come in this late to a team/players he doesn't know and start coaching is tough.
On the other hand, Pat Hill is a great coach and will always have his team ready to play.
Suspensions:
Hill said linebacker Kyle Knox, receiver Matt Lindsay and linebacker Daniel Salinas did not accompany the team for the bowl game in Boise, Idaho.

Knox is second on the team with 74 tackles. Lindsay has 14 catches for 208 yards.

At the end of the day, I feel NI is a better team, but I will still take Fresno in this game as a small bet and in a confidence pool, they are in the bottom third. I will put a medium play on the over. I know conventional wisdom states that a running team lends towards the under due to running out the clock, but when you can eat up chunks of yards like that, scores happen a lot and play action produces tons of points. Fresno and the over are my plays for this