Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Las Vegas Bowl, bowl #6

Utah vs. Boise St. Boise st -16.5, 0u 57.5

On a quick side note favorites are 5-0 so far this bowl season( 4-0-1 depending when you got the line for lville).

On to this game...i can look at all the stats and numbers I want, and either way I see it Boise rolls in this game. The only things I see holding them back would be are they down and de-motivated since instead of being in a BCS game they are playing another non AQ school in a crap bowl game, the weather( it has been raining for 2 straight days and will be raining through most of the game), has partying in Vegas worn them out, and finally, how long will Peterson keep the starters in if it is a blowout( he is known to pull his whole team in the mid 3rd quarter).
For utah, they have won 9 straight bowl games, they have great coaching, but I just think they overall talent they have can not match Boise one bit. When Utah has faced anyone resembling a good defense lately they have scored 3 and 7( nd and TCU). They did put up 38 against San Diego St( this will be talked about more when I go huge on the nvay/SDS over). I know Utah will be motivated and I know they had the fight in the casino and the Utah kids are tweeting all types of trash talk, but at the end of the day Boise is just to good. If Utah finds a way to sneak in the back door at the end, that will be something I can live with.
As for the total, I am afraid of this a little, becasue Boise could shut them down 31-10 or they could totally blow them out and score 58 themselves. I will be going real small on the total, but I will play some props.

Plays for this game( this is also in my top 3 for Boise to win in my confidence pool).
Bets on this game are( and of course there will be a 2nd half bet:

All these for 1 unit:

STRAIGHT BET
[210] BOISE STATE -16-120 (B+½)

STRAIGHT BET( this is the alternate line paying +165)
[7006] ALT1-BOISE STATE -21½+165

STRAIGHT BET
[7157] TOTAL o21-110
(TOT PTS 1ST HALF-BOISE STATE vrs TOT PTS 1ST HALF-BOISE STATE)

STRAIGHT BET
[1210] 1H BOISE STATE -10-110

2 unit tease:
4T MONSTER TEAS Ties lose
[102] STEELERS (PIT) -1½-110 (B+13)
[210] BOISE STATE -3½-110 (B+13)
[211] TOTAL o47½-110 (B+13)
(NAVY vrs SAN DIEGO STATE)
[213] TOTAL o60-110 (B+13)
(TULSA vrs HAWAII)

2 unit tease:
3T SUPER TEASER Ties lose
[210] BOISE STATE -6½-110 (B+10)
[513] JAZZ (UTAH) +2-110 (B+8)
[517] ROCKETS (HOUS) +9-110 (B+8)

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